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Exterior Painting · Texas

Exterior Painting Weather in Arlington, TX: 10-Day Windows & Best Months

Arlington gives you roughly 152 workable exterior painting days a year, concentrated February through May. October leads the calendar with 24 workable days: average high 79°F, low 56°F, rain on 23% of days. Below: the live 10-day check and Arlington's full month-by-month table.

Best month: March · 23 workable days

The next 10 days in Arlington

GOOD — a clean label day MARGINAL — one borderline check NO — hard fail or stacked flags

The rules this check uses

The engine scores every Arlington day against this table — typical latex-label numbers, with 35–50°F highs flagged for low-temperature formulas.

Typical label thresholds for exterior painting — the ruleset behind every Arlington verdict above.
CheckThresholdWhy it matters
Air temperature 50–90°F (low-temp formulas from 35°F) Standard latex wants 50°F+. Some low-temperature formulas are rated down to 35°F.
Overnight low ≥35°F during the first 24 h (≥40°F preferred) Paint keeps curing overnight; a low under 40°F stalls standard latex.
Dry before ≤0.05" rain in the prior 12 h; watch back to 24 h What fell before you start matters as much as what falls after — surfaces hold water invisibly.
Dry after <0.05" rain for 24 h after The make-or-break window: rain here undoes the work, not just delays it.
Evening dew-point spread ≥5°F from 6–11 pm Surface should stay at least 5°F above the dew point; dew flat-spots fresh paint.
Daytime humidity ≤80% Humid air slows evaporation, stretching dry times into the risky evening hours.
Wind ≤15 mph (brush only up to 20 mph) Scored on the windiest working hour; the marginal band changes the method, not the day.

Always follow your product label — formulas vary. Treat the table as the consensus range across brands — the label in your hand is the final word.

Best months for exterior painting in Arlington

January: 0 workable days · high 58°F / low 37°F · rain 21% of daysFebruary: 12 workable days · high 62°F / low 40°F · rain 24% of daysMarch: 23 workable days · high 70°F / low 48°F · rain 26% of daysApril: 23 workable days · high 77°F / low 55°F · rain 25% of daysMay: 23 workable days · high 84°F / low 64°F · rain 27% of daysJune: 4 workable days · high 92°F / low 72°F · rain 23% of daysJuly: 0 workable days · high 96°F / low 75°F · rain 15% of daysAugust: 0 workable days · high 96°F / low 75°F · rain 16% of daysSeptember: 14 workable days · high 89°F / low 68°F · rain 19% of daysOctober: 24 workable days · high 79°F / low 56°F · rain 23% of daysNovember: 23 workable days · high 67°F / low 46°F · rain 22% of daysDecember: 6 workable days · high 59°F / low 39°F · rain 21% of daysJanuary avg high 58°FJanuary avg low 37°FFebruary avg high 62°FFebruary avg low 40°FMarch avg high 70°FMarch avg low 48°FApril avg high 77°FApril avg low 55°FMay avg high 84°FMay avg low 64°FJune avg high 92°FJune avg low 72°FJuly avg high 96°FJuly avg low 75°FAugust avg high 96°FAugust avg low 75°FSeptember avg high 89°FSeptember avg low 68°FOctober avg high 79°FOctober avg low 56°FNovember avg high 67°FNovember avg low 46°FDecember avg high 59°FDecember avg low 39°FJanuary: rain on 21% of daysJFebruary: rain on 24% of daysFMarch: rain on 26% of daysMApril: rain on 25% of daysAMay: rain on 27% of daysMJune: rain on 23% of daysJJuly: rain on 15% of daysJAugust: rain on 16% of daysASeptember: rain on 19% of daysSOctober: rain on 23% of daysONovember: rain on 22% of daysNDecember: rain on 21% of daysD37°66°96°0122323234001424236
Workable days (bar height)Avg high °FAvg low °FRain odds (dot size)
How Arlington months rank: temperature-rule days minus NOAA rain odds, from 1991–2020 normals. An estimate for planning, not a forecast.
MonthAvg highAvg lowRain odds/dayWorkable days 
January 58°F 37°F 21% 0
February 62°F 40°F 24% 12
March 70°F 48°F 26% 23
April 77°F 55°F 25% 23
May 84°F 64°F 27% 23
June 92°F 72°F 23% 4
July 96°F 75°F 15% 0
August 96°F 75°F 16% 0
September 89°F 68°F 19% 14
October 79°F 56°F 23% 24
November 67°F 46°F 22% 23
December 59°F 39°F 21% 6

The working season runs February through May — about 152 workable days a year. The edges are night-limited: label rules want overnight lows of 40°F+, and Arlington's nights only average that from February to November. Neighboring towns shift by a month or more — the Texas comparison shows where Arlington sits.

Midsummer is the trap month in Arlington — 96°F average highs against a 90°F limit. The best-months table is honest about it: October beats July with 24 workable days to 0.

Related check: roof coating in Arlington — same 50–90°F chemistry, but roofs hit the dew point first and wind is a safety stop.

Climatology here is measured at Arlington Muni Ap, Tx Us (5.4 km away). Treat the monthly numbers as the neighborhood average; a shaded north-side deck runs colder and damper than any of them. The exact formula lives in the methodology.

The loop continues nearby: check exterior painting weather in Amarillo, TX one stop back, or Atascocita, TX’s exterior painting windows one stop ahead.

Arlington by the numbers

Prep checklist

  1. Two clean days beat one perfect one: 24 h of dry cure and a 40°F+ night — October is Arlington's highest-odds month (24 days).
  2. Wash the wall and scrape everything loose; paint bonds to substrate, not chalk.
  3. Give washed siding 24 hours — north walls in Arlington can need double after a May-grade soak.
  4. Read the wall, not the app: an ir surface thermometer on sunlit siding shows 20°F+ over Arlington's reported 79°F.
  5. Spot-prime bare wood and bleed-through, then caulk the gaps on a touch-dry surface.
  6. Follow the shade around the house — never a wall in direct midday sun.
  7. Cut in with an angled brush set, roll a wet edge, and drop the sprayer plan over 15 mph.
  8. Stop 2 hours before sunset: with October lows near 56°F, Arlington's siding meets the dew point before the late news.

Pro moves for Arlington conditions

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Frequently asked questions

What temperature can you paint outside?

Standard latex: 50–90°F with nights of 40°F+; low-temperature formulas are rated down to 35°F and the engine marks 35–50°F highs as MARGINAL for exactly that reason. Arlington's edge months live in that band — February averages 62°F highs over 40°F nights.

How many dry hours does exterior paint need before rain?

About 24 — a 0.05"+ shower inside that window streaks or washes fresh latex. Arlington offers those 24-hour dry runs most reliably in July (rain on just 15% of days); May is the gamble at 27%.

Why does dew ruin fresh paint?

Because a film that hasn't coalesced can't shed water: on cooling Arlington siding, dew flat-spots the sheen and drags surfactants out in streaks. It forms when the wall reaches the dew point — the engine wants a 5°F spread from 6–11 p.m. Finish 2 hours before sunset and latex gets its lead time.

Can you paint in high humidity?

The label limit is ~80% relative humidity, and it compounds: humid air slows the cure, which pushes wet film into dew hours. The engine flags 80–83% and fails beyond. In Arlington, the drier July air makes this a non-issue; muggy spells make it the day-killer.

What is surface temperature vs air temperature?

The forecast reports air; the label limits the wall. In direct sun a wall runs 20°F+ hotter — a 96°F Arlington July day can put a west wall past the 90°F ceiling by mid-afternoon. Follow the shade around the house and check the surface by hand or IR thermometer.

When does painting season end in Arlington?

When nights stop clearing 40°F — in Arlington that's typically after May, when average lows hit 64°F and falling. Low-temp formulas (35°F rated) buy a few extra weeks; the engine shows them as MARGINAL days before the hard close.

What humidity is too high for exterior painting?

Most acrylic paints apply well between 40 and 70 percent relative humidity. Above about 85 percent, water can't evaporate from the film, so drying stalls, sags develop, and surfactants rise as sticky brown streaks. Very low humidity under 20 percent causes the opposite problem — paint dries too fast to level. Check the hourly forecast for Arlington and aim for a falling-humidity afternoon.

What is the dew point rule for exterior painting?

Coating manufacturers require the surface to be at least 5°F above the dew point during application and initial drying. Closer than that, an invisible film of condensation forms on the siding, which ruins adhesion and can flash-rust bare metal. Practically, start after morning dew has fully evaporated and stop early enough that paint is set before the evening temperature drop.

How windy is too windy to paint outside?

Sustained winds above about 15 mph make brushing and rolling risky: paint skins before it levels, lap marks multiply, and dust or pollen embeds in the wet film. Spraying is far more sensitive — overspray drifts onto cars and neighbors above roughly 5 to 10 mph. Wind also accelerates drying, shortening your wet edge, so pick calm mornings for large walls.

Why is my fresh exterior paint blistering?

Heat blisters form when paint is applied to siding baking in direct sun — the surface skins over, then trapped solvent or water vaporizes underneath. Moisture blisters appear when paint goes over damp wood or when interior moisture pushes outward. Paint shaded sides, keep surfaces under about 90°F, and let rain-soaked siding dry a day or two before coating.

Exterior Painting glossary

Dew point spread
The gap between air temperature and dew point; painting standards call for surfaces at least 5°F above the dew point to prevent invisible condensation under fresh paint.
Surfactant leaching
Sticky brown or glossy streaks that surface when latex paint dries in cool, damp conditions; usually cosmetic and rinses off after the paint fully cures.
Wet edge
Keeping the boundary of just-applied paint wet so the next stroke blends invisibly; heat, wind, and low humidity shorten it and cause lap marks.
Surface temperature
The actual temperature of siding, which can run 20 to 40°F above air temperature in direct sun; paint labels' limits apply to the surface, not the forecast.
Full cure
The point when paint reaches final hardness and washability — typically 2 to 4 weeks for exterior acrylics — distinct from dry-to-touch, which takes only hours.
Blocking
Fresh paint sticking to itself where surfaces touch, like doors against jambs; worst in heat and humidity before the film fully cures.

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Climatology: NOAA 1991–2020 normals via ARLINGTON MUNI AP, TX US (5.4 km from Arlington center, elevation 630 ft); live outlook by Open-Meteo.